Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.423367 17.446922 19.706814 22.430904 25.642927 29.331182 33.917488
2025-09-28 12.349054 14.846125 17.859627 21.808598 26.913327 33.382438 42.352927
2025-10-05 11.942425 15.043046 19.017500 24.586434 32.354382 43.066667 59.438822
2025-10-12 11.018379 14.369259 18.863916 25.495216 35.318436 49.829348 73.902186
2025-10-19 9.797862 13.110310 17.706693 24.759584 35.706626 52.785564 83.083321
2025-10-26 9.253812 12.705254 17.661280 25.578297 38.479989 59.814905 100.545545
2025-11-02 8.502980 11.912092 16.941262 25.237889 39.304356 63.715678 113.324151
2025-11-09 7.838893 11.177226 16.220422 24.782217 39.827031 67.120554 125.943763
2025-11-16 7.301296 10.582046 15.649058 24.486434 40.553944 70.981996 140.489537
2025-11-23 6.751572 9.920269 14.906309 23.804420 40.464342 73.221336 152.037955
2025-11-30 6.368617 9.490441 14.498319 23.652054 41.329682 77.512626 169.654607
2025-12-07 5.865402 8.829716 13.651633 22.620622 40.340728 77.713200 177.075383
2025-12-14 5.365850 8.157908 12.761858 21.473657 39.079025 77.341230 183.636612
2025-12-21 5.006435 7.696087 12.199460 20.887915 38.904619 79.441623 198.022446
2025-12-28 5.181356 8.142835 13.255896 23.517330 45.957079 100.261426 277.922755
2026-01-04 5.072569 8.090563 13.410044 24.376744 49.258959 112.668071 337.917916
2026-01-11 4.762786 7.663156 12.838462 23.681122 48.836721 115.011266 362.602437
2026-01-18 4.666614 7.609552 12.960827 24.455286 52.070390 128.474593 439.560398
2026-01-25 4.444078 7.312116 12.593995 24.133444 52.529833 133.912796 485.988549
2026-02-01 4.226159 7.010056 12.196234 23.702528 52.646596 138.354508 531.087462
2026-02-08 4.041234 6.758466 11.879879 23.422756 53.123716 144.120650 587.444162
2026-02-15 3.830317 6.446624 11.422828 22.777480 52.520420 146.155345 625.667355
2026-02-22 3.685743 6.252628 11.190517 22.633287 53.291111 153.216388 699.387752